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October 2008
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Monday 31 March, from 14:45 to 16:45 at Sciences Po (117 boulevard Saint-Germain, Paris 7ème)

 

With Makio Miyagawa (Consul-general of Japan in Geneva) and Sayuri Shirai (Lecturer in Economics, Keiô University, Japan).

 

Japan is confronted with China’s high-speed growth: what are the sources of dynamism of its diplomacy and the strategies deployed by its companies to meet the challenge? The presentations will show that Chinese growth is very much a trigger of changes and renewal within Japan.

 

The conference is organized by Asia Centre – Centre Études Asie and Sciences-po’s Groupe d'Économie Mondiale. The conference will be held in english and jointly chaired by François Godement, Sciences Po/Asia Centre and Patrick Messerlin, director of Sciences-po’s Groupe d'Économie Mondiale.

Sciences Po GEM 

 

Information: r.jouannigot@centreasia.org
(Manifestations)
Elite Education in China, 1950-1999: Who, Where, How

Professor James Z. Lee (Frederick Huetwell Professor and Director, Center for Chinese Studies at the University of Michigan; Changjiang Scholar and Director, PKU-UM Joint Institute at Peking University) will introduce in his presentation the preliminary results of an ongoing project on higher education, social mobility and stratification in China (1952-1999).

 

Professor Lee and his colleagues, notably Cameron Campbell (Pr in Sociology, UCLA), are known in particular for the production and analysis of large-scale individual-level socio-demographic data from the late imperial times to the present.

 

The conference is organized by Asia Centre – Centre Études Asie and the Centre Asia-Pacifique from DAIE of Sciences Po. The conference will be in english and introduced by François Godement, Sciences Po/Asia Centre.

   

DAIE Sciences Po

 

Information : r.jouannigot@centreasia.org

August 30-31, 2007, Taipei.

 

For its fifth edition that focuses on economic security and the major stakes of the rise of China, this forum has confronted various regional views (from Southeast to Northeast Asia to American and European). Both the European perception and the Energy security scopes have been presented by François Godement and Pierre Noel, respectively director and associate researcher at Asia Centre.

August 30 Thursday (Day One)

 

8:40-9:00     Registration

 

9:00-9:10     Welcoming Remarks

   

9:10-9:40     Keynote Speech: Tsai Ing-wen, Former Vice Premier

9:40-10:00    Coffee Break

 

10:00-11:30   Session OneThe Rise of China: Economic Power and Challenges to the World Order

 

Moderator: Hung-mao Tien, President & Chairman of the Board, Institute for National Policy Research

 

Presenters:

n           Edward Friedman, University of Wisconsin, Madison

“The Rise of China as a Global Power?”

n           John Ravenhill, Australian National University

“Beijing Consensus” or “Washington Consensus?”

 

Discussants:

n           Parris Chang 張旭成, Former Deputy Secretary General of National Security Council

n           Huan Guocang(宦國倉), Primus Pacific, Hong Kong

 

11:30-12:00   Open Forum

 

12:00-14:00   Lunch

 

14:00-15:30   Session TwoThe Other Side of China’s Rise

 

Moderator: Ralph A. Cossa, Pacific Forum, CSIS

 

Presenters:

n           Pierre Noel, University of Cambridge

“Energy Security and China’s Rise”

■ Simon Tay, Chairman, Singapore Institute of International Affairs

“Environmental Security and China’s Rise”

 

Discussants:

n           Yann-huei Song宋燕輝, Research Fellow, Institute of European and American Studies, Academia Sinica, Taiwan

n           Daigee Shaw蕭代基, President, Chung-hua Institution for Economic Research

 

15:30-16:00   Open Forum

 

19:00        Dinner

 

August 31 Friday (Day Two)

 

09:30-11:00    Session Three - Responses from Major Powers: Balancing or Bandwagon Strategy?

 

Moderator: Yun-han Chu 朱雲漢, Professor, National Taiwan University

 

Presenters:

  Bonnie Glaser, Senior Associate, CSIS (invited)

“An American Perspective of the Rise of China”

n           Satoshi Amako天兒慧, Waseda University

“A Northeast Asian Perspective of the Rise of China”

 

Discussants:

n           Philip Yang(楊永明), National Taiwan University

n           Shiau Chyuan-jenq(蕭全政), National Taiwan University

 

11:00-11:30  Open Forum

 

11:30-13:00  Luncheon

 

13:00-14:30 Session FourResponses from Two Blocs: Balancing or Bandwagon Strategy? 

   

Moderator: Cheng-yi Lin, Research Fellow, Institute of European and American Studies, Academia Sinica

 

Presenters:

■ Carolina G. Hernandez

“A Southeast Asian Perspective of the Rise of China”

■ Francois Godement, Director, Asia Centre, France

“An EU Perspective of the Rise of China”

 

Discussants:

n           Chyungly Lee 李瓊莉, National Chengchi University

n           Tain-jy Chen 陳添枝, Professor, National Taiwan University

14:30-15:00  Open Forum

 

15:00-15:10  Coffee Break

 

15:10-17:00  Session Five - A Tale of Two Cities: Taipei and Beijing

 

Moderator: Chi-lin Wei 魏啟林, Chairman, Taiwan Economic and Industrial Association

 

Presenters:

  Teh-sheng Hung 洪德生, President, Taiwan Institute of Economic Research

“Choosing between Closer Economic Partnership Arrangement or Free Trade Agreements?”

n   I-Chung Lai賴怡忠, Director, Taiwan ThinkTank

“Absorbing into Chinese Economic Arrangement while Maintaining Political Independence?”

 

Discussants:

n           Ralph A. Cossa, Pacific Forum, CSIS

n           Huan Guocang, Primus Pacific, Hong Kong

 

17:00-17:30  Session Six   Concluding Session

 

Moderator: Hung-mao Tien, INPR

 

Panelists:

Ralph A. Cossa, CSIS

Huan Guocang, Primus Pacific, Hong Kong

Francois Godement, Asia Centre

Carolina G. Hernandez, ISDS

John Ravenhill, ANU

Simon Tay, SIIA

 

19:00       Dinner

The new strategic and security issues in East Asia and the Middle East

2-3 July 2007, Tokyo. This dialogue, with scholars and participants from the French Ministries of Foreign Affairs and Defence and their Japanese counterparts, considered from a variety of angles North Korea and the security of North-East Asia, the situation of China and its relations with Japan and the United States, the rise of India and its influence over Asia as well as stability in the Middle East. Lastly, France’s Asia policy was the subject of a paper...

With the following Japanese participants: S. Tomoda, C. Kokubo and Y. Nikaido (JIIA), T. Kikuchi and S. Takagi (Aoyama Gakuin U.), Amb. H. Hirabayashi, H. Kurata (Kyorin U.), K. Suetsugu (Asia Pacific Energy Forum), K Tanaka (JIME-Center), A. Takahara (Tokyo U.) and French participants: M. Duchâtel, G. Delamotte and F. Godement (Asia Centre), P. Levy and M. Lafont-Rapnouil (CAP), P. Le Corre and I. St-Mézard (DAS).

27-29 June 2007, Tokyo. Organised in partnership with the French-Japanese House (MFJ), the French Embassy in Japan, the IRASEC and the Reseau Asie, this two-days conference is which involved the participation of prominent scholars from Korea, provided an analysis of the new dynamics of Sino-Japanese relations in East Asia. Asia Centre brought its expertise in particular with respect to the study of the political use history, on regional security in North-East Asia, and on the conditions of regional integration. These are fondamental issues, which bear an impact on the region's potential path as well as large global implications, and call for parallels with the French and European experiences... 

North East Asia is by far the most significant economic area within Asia, in GDP, financial or technological terms. Japan’s industrial firms have remained at the cutting edge of global competition, with some large Korean groups joining them. China’s economic rise is unparalleled at the beginning of the 21st century. The three countries exercise a powerful influence in most areas of soft power over the Asia-Pacific. “Reform” – understood differently and covering different agendas – is the key word in China, Japan and Korea, as it was at the end of the 19th century in Japan with the beginning of the Meiji era.

 

Yet historical, political and strategic obstacles of a wide and long lasting variety prevent the emergence of a full-fledged regional cooperation in North-East Asia. To come to terms with the Pacific War and its aftermath, all parties must get involved in a critical work on history and settle territorial disputes. Political regime differences with respect to the role of public opinion, the nature of education and information, the perceived legitimacy and role of domestic factors in foreign policy constitute obstacles to an improved understanding between societies. Huge imbalances in levels of development, a growing apprehension over natural resources, mutual economic fears, and uncertainty about the relative status of the region’s key countries in the near future contribute to misunderstandings.

 

All of the above themes of deep concern for Japan’s future deserve to be treated with utmost attention to different judgments and interpretations. European scholars have quarrelled more than most in the past on similar historical themes and on the policies of Europe’s nation-states. But they have also, in the last half-century, contributed their share to a process of reconciliation and to a better understanding of national issues and interests, leading to regional cooperation and a process of European-wide integration. Today, scholars from the main countries of North-East Asia face a similar agenda and welcome the debate with their French and European counterparts.

15-16 Jan. 2007, Paris. With European support (GMF and the KAS) and French support (CAP). This high-level meeting on Western policies towards China brings together every 18 months members of the China Policy Program (GWU) and European and Asian experts as well as officials from Asia and those dealing with regional questions in the countries concerned...

With the following American participation: R. Baum (UCLA), P. Bottelier (Johns Hopkins U. SAIS), T. Christensen (Department of State), B. Cole (U.S. National War College), T. Fingar (National Intelligence, DNI), B. Gill (CSIS), M. McDevitt (Center for Naval Analyses, CNA), D. Shambaugh (GWU), Amb. J.S. Roy (Kissinger & Associates) and European participation: M. Meidan, R. Ash (SOAS), J-P. Cabestan, S. Crossick (EPC), Amb. M. Filhol (MoFA, Fr.), L. Frouart (MinDef), F. Godement, B. Gorawantschy (KAS), T. Kozlowski (Council of the EU), H. Kreft (Parliamentary Group of the CDU/CSU), P. Levy (MoFA, Fr.), S. Lillie (FCO, UK), Amb. A. Michaelis (MoFA, Germ.), M. Rokas (EU Commission), E. Sandschneider (DGAP), R. Wye (FCO, UK). Other participants: : A. J. Betermier, F. Biot, A. Bloch-Lainé (GMF), G. D’Elia (American Embassy), H. de Rochefort (France America Association), K. Hofmann (American Embassy), S. Homola, P. Le Corre (MoD, France), G. Schlumberger (FRS), D. Schrey (KAS), K. Shreffler (DNI), A. Small (GMF), M. Zaborowski (EUISS).

(Manifestations)
5th and 6th Shangri-La Dialogues 2006 et 2007

2-4 June 2006 /1 June 2007, Singapore. F. Godement participates regularly in the "East Asia Security Summit" which was established in 2002 under the sponsorship of the IISS . These summits, better known as the Shangri-La Dialogue, bring together in Singapore virtually all Asia-Pacific Defence Ministers and some of their European counterparts. Combining as it does both plenary sessions and less formal workshops, the Shangri-La Dialogue has become a privileged mechanism for discussion and analysis of security matters. In 2007, after years of maintaining a cautious distance, China sent as its delegate General Zhang Qinsheng, Deputy Chief of Staff of the PLA.

8 Dec. 2006, Paris. With the support of the SGDN. The European Union and its constituent countries are regarded today as secondary partners in all strategic matters affecting security developments in East Asia.
What lessons can be drawn from this situation and how can we provide better visibility for our interests and commitments? This seminar was not only the opportunity for an exchange on European positions, ambitions and means [nationally and regionally] but also for a debate about possible initiatives capable of leading to more high-profile actions.
With participation by H.E. B. Bassin (MoFA, Finland), F. Delon (SGDN), W. van der Geest (EIAS), F. Godement, C. Grant (CER), N. von Hofmann, L. Jakobson (FIIA), T. Kozlowski (Council of the EU), H. Ladsous (MoFA, France), A. Neill (RUSI), L. Odgaard (Aarhus U., Denmark), S.E. M. Sahlin (Folke Bernadotte Academy, Sweden).
   
Among the participants from Finland: Amb. K. Burski, Amb. E. Hamilo and M. Heiskanen, from Germany: K. Möller (†) (SWP), H. Maull (U. Trier), F. Umbach (DGAP) and A. Wulff (MoFA), from the United Kingdom: H.Smith (U. of Warwick) and R. Wye (FCO), from Spain: A. Marquina Barrio (U. Complutense), from Belgium: R. Mathieu (Royal Defence College), from Sweden: K. von Hoesslin and from France: A. d’Andurain, T.Berthelot, M. Briens, P. Errera and P. Le Corre (MoFA), E. Charles, L. Frouart and C-P. Godard (MinDef), P.Hassner (CERI), M. Miraillet, N. Regaud and J. Zérinini (SGDN), B. Sitt (CESIM), F. Biot and S. Boisseau du Rocher and Senator X. de Villepin.
    
In parallel with this conference, active members of the European Committee of CSCAP met in Paris on 7 Dec. 2006
27-28 Nov. 2006, Beijing. With the support of CAP, FIP and FES. This series of meetings with Chinese experts allowed for an informal political and economic dialogue between France and China. Crucial topics were raised such as religions and nationalism (from South Asia to Central Asia and the Middle East); Sub-Saharan Africa; geopolitics and energy. A final roundtable considered the respective roles played by Europe and China in the current international context...
With the following Chinese participants: Cui Liru, Feng Zhongping, Tang Zhichao, Chen Jiejun, Zhao Hongtu, Xu Weizhong, Zhang Buren (CICIR), An Yongyu, Wu Hongwei, Yao Guimei (CASS); Li Anshan (Beida), Dong Manyuan (CIIS); Xu Xiaojie (CNPC), European participants: S. Vaner and R. Marchal (CERI/FNSP) U. Steinbach (Deutsches Orient-Institut), D. Fischer (Duisburg U.) as well as J-P. Cabestan, F. Godement and M. Meidan. With the following European representatives: S. Abou and L. Riquet, Chinese Foreign Affairs by Lei Kezhong, French Foreign Affairs by P. Levy, P. Allard, N. Chapuis and E. Maillard, German Foreign Affairs by V. Stanzel and C. Eilrich and Dutch Foreign Affairs by B. Bas Ter Haar; French MoD (L. Frouart), Press: People’s Daily.

The new strategic balance in North-East Asia

28-29 Sept. 2006, Paris. With the support of the DAS (MinDef) and the DGCID (MoFa).

At a time of change of government in Tokyo and new tensions in the Korean peninsula with the announcement of a nuclear test, both these questions took on a particular importance.

Asia Centre, in partnership with the JIIA and in cooperation with the IHEDN, brought together at the Ecole Militaire a panel of experts and top ranking politicians from Japan, France and Europe. These included the former Minister for Foreign Affairs, Koji Kakizawa, the directors of IHEDN, V.A. François Dupont, and JIIA, Makio Miyagawa, the chairman of the Board of IISS, F. Heisbourg, and FRS director G. Schlumberger. The question of a new strategic balances in North-East Asia was considered from the perspectives of military modernisation and China’s strategic stance, Sino-Japanese relations (cooperation and strategic interests) and from a sense of history’s legacy and how to overcome it. The exchange ended with a roundtable on the roles of North-East Asia in the Community of East Asia...

With the following Japanese participants: Takashi Kawakami (U. Takushoku), Tsutomu Kikuchi and Seiichirô Takagi (U. Aoyama Gakuin), Tsutomu Ôkawa (Japanese Embassy in China), Katsuhiko Suetsugu (Asia Pacific Energy Forum) and European participants: C. W. Hughes (U. Warwick) R. Dujarric (NIPS /JIIA), J-M. Bouissou and K. Postel-Vinay (CERI), E. Seizelet (CNRS / IAO), B. Tertrais (FRS), J-P. Cabestan, G. Delamotte and F. Godement, C.A. A-F. de Saint-Salvy, P. Boone and L. Frouart (DAS), P. Lévy and M. Briens (CAP).

28-29 Feb. 2006, Beijing. The strategic dimension of the Sino-European relation, which has been fostered since 2004, has resulted in a good number of dialogues. In 2006, Asia Centre in Paris, the CER in London and DGAP in Berlin, as well as CASS in Beijing and other Chinese think tanks, decided to look at certain strategic questions for their potential to stimulate cooperation, beyond short-time issues such as trade conflict or the arms embargo. Energy and the environment, development, global governance and the fight against proliferation have been on the agenda of this working group...

Chinese participants: Chen Shuxun (CRF), Cui Zhiyuan (Tsinghua U.), Feng Zhongping (CICIR), Gao Shixian (NDRC), Gu Guoliang, Huang Ping, Pan Jiahua and Zhou Hong (CASS), Pan Zhenqiang (NDU), Xing Hua (CIIS); European participants: F. Godement, C. Grant and M. Leonard (CER), E. Sandschneider (DGAP) and A. Small (GMF)

(Manifestations)
A compact between China and EU, the recommendations from researchers:

The 6th Asia-Europe Meeting (ASEM) and the 9th EU-China Summit both take pace in Helsinki in September. Several bilateral and multilateral informal dialogues have focused on the strategic dimension of the Sino-European dialogue since it has become a goal for both sides in 2004.

In 2006, Asia Centre in Paris, the CER (Center for European Reform) in London and the DGAP (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik) in Berlin, as well as the CASS (Chinese Academy of Social Sciences) in Beijing and other Chinese think tanks, have worked together on long-term strategic issues that are contentious but have the potential to foster fruitful co-operation, beyond short-term questions such as trade disputes or the EU arms embargo on China.

The available “EU-China Compact*” is designed to set out a concrete agenda for co-operation, by concentrating on some of the most important issues of concern on the international agenda – global and regional governance, development, energy and non-proliferation.

* This document draws on the ideas that emerged from our discussions, but we have not asked individual researchers or the institutions they represent to sign up to all its recommendations.

18-19 Jan. 2006, Paris. With the support of the DAS (Delegation for Strategic Affairs, French MoD) and jointly organised with the FRS (Foundation for Strategic Research) at the CHEM (Centre for Advanced Military Studies), this conference used Korea as a case study, to understand the strategic choices and dilemmas facing North-East Asia. It included a history of the Korean peninsula, looked at the realistic yet distant possibilitiesfor reunification, debated the nuclear factor, North Korea’s WMD and China’s role, illustrated (via the presentation of economic issues) the difficulty in taking a rational view of the North Korean system, and underlined important flaws in the attitude of the major international players.
With the following Korean participants: Seongchang Cheong, Yongsup Han, Junghwan Yoo, Taeho Kim , French participants: A. Fabre, C-P. Godard, F. Godement, B. Hourcade, A. Nass, G. Schlumberger European participants: R. Frank, S.E. J.E. Hoare, representatives from the CHEM, including: H. Renaud, M. Yakovleff, P.Beaudoin, B. Clermon. With speeches by J. de Ponton d’Amecourt (DAS), F. Dupont (IHEDN), Chulki Ju (Amb. de la RDC en France) and Senator André Santini, in the presence of the press for the final round table (La Croix, RFI).

Organised on a regular basis by the INPR (Taiwan) in partnership with Asia Centre (Paris), the CSIS (Hawaï) and the ISDS (Manila)...


Old challenges and new developments in Asia-Pacific Security

13-14 Oct. 2005, Taipei. With written presentations from: C. R. HUGHES: "China and Taiwan: ‘Reconciliation’ or ‘Quiet Before the Storm’"; LAI I-chung: "Framework to Reorganize the Northeast Asia Security Environment: Toward a New Status Quo?"; LIN Cheng-yi: "Rising China, Divided Taiwan and Cross-Strait Relations"; N. M. MORADA: "Southeast Asian Security: Old and New Issues and Challenges"; S.RIGGER: "US-China Relations: Can President Bush Stay on the Tightrope?"; S. SNYDER: "The Future of American Alliances in Northeast Asia and the Challenge of Building a Northeast Community"; E. TEO: "China’s Economic Advances in ASEAN-China Relations"

 

Pacific Security: A Strategic Outlook

4-5 Sept. 2006, Cebu. This meeting put into perspective questions of nationalism and democratic policy in Asia and their implications for regional security, regional security organisations, the search for energy and resources: competition or cooperation? and Chinese-American and cross-strait relations.

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